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[https://x.com/JBSchweitzer/status/1948004116136935764](https://x.com/JBSchweitzer/status/1948004116136935764)

[https://xcancel.com/JBSchweitzer/status/1948004116136935764](https://xcancel.com/JBSchweitzer/status/1948004116136935764)

[https://paragraph.com/@observer/29](https://paragraph.com/@observer/29)

I KNOW people aren’t going to post their working algos online. I was curious if there were examples of full systems online. Like I said they could be total failures from a strategy perspective. Basically just trying to look at the general structure of what a full system might look like.

Good evening folks, my fiancé and I are staying in Portugal for 10 days, and are going to be around the Lisbon/Sintra area the first 4.

I feel as though we now have to pick between Porto/Douro valley or the Algarve region. We definitely would like to find a lovely beach regardless, but I am worried that the beaches further north won’t hold a candle to the more southern ones.

Which area do you all think is more worth to prioritize?

Are there beaches drivable from Porto that can compare?

Which one is best to start as a beginner ?

Hey guys.
well i just paid for the minea started plan because i got a good deal like 50%off,i think i was based on my location.

as soon i paid,i went to use some features,but there is a lock on them and it says i have to upgrade to a premium plan.

It also says 30580/10000 credits used which should be impossible,specially since i had the account before,but never really used it and i just paid for the starter plan.

Im so furious rn and i dont know what to do,like is it a bug or something?

Calling all traders, coders, and especially math lovers.

Let’s approach trading profitability from first principles.

After 10 years of live trading, I’ve been thinking deeply about how to build a logic-based, probabilistic trading model — and finally have a clear problem statement.

📌 But before jumping into solutions, I want to ask:
Does this problem statement make sense?
If we solve it, does it logically lead to a profitable edge?

⸻

🧩 The Setup: 5 Variables and 2 Rules

We are trading in any liquid market: CFDs, stocks, crypto, etc.

🎯 The 5 Variables:
• X = Entry level
• Y = Take profit level
• Z = Stop loss level
• P = Probability that price hits Y after X → P(Y | X)
• L = Probability that price hits Z after X → P(Z | X)

⸻

✅ Rule 1:

|X – Y| > |X – Z|
→ Ensures a Reward > Risk (R:R > 1)

✅ Rule 2:

P(Y | X) > P(Z | X)
→ Ensures Target is statistically more likely than Stop

⸻

🧠 The Problem Statement:

Find combinations of (X, Y, Z, P, L) that satisfy Rule 1 and Rule 2.

If both are true, the setup has positive expected value:

EV = P(Y | X) × |Y − X| − P(Z | X) × |X − Z| > 0

That’s it — clean, testable, logic-based.

⸻

Would love your thoughts.
• Does this problem definition hold up mathematically?
• Would solving this system — even partially — lead to a trading edge?